The Gulf Barrel

The EU is weighing a delay of up to one year to methane reporting rules for imported oil and gas, currently due January 1, 2027, according to OilPrice.com. Commissioner Dan Jorgensen reportedly says officials are examining a postponement, not a weakening. No formal proposal has been confirmed, and this rests on one secondary report.

Shell and its LNG Canada partners took a final investment decision on 29 September 2026 to add two trains, doubling capacity from 14 to 28 million tonnes per annum, with operations expected in the early 2030s. For Gulf exporters, it is a Pacific-basin supply addition landing as Qatar targets 142 mtpa by 2030.

Two Ras Laffan LNG trains damaged in March will take about three years to repair, QatarEnergy chief executive Saad Sherida Al-Kaabi said, per Oil & Gas Journal on 22 September. OGJ describes the trains as 17% of Ras Laffan's production capacity; no QatarEnergy tonnage has been published. This is analysis, not trading advice.

Global gas will likely stay tighter than it should be until at least next summer, according to the International Gas Union, as the Iran war reportedly keeps Persian Gulf LNG at an estimated 15-25% of pre-war levels. Europe, with storage near 50%, is outbidding Asia; Goldman Sachs forecasts €70/MWh this winter. Analysis, not advice.

Official data sits below the headline. The U.S. Energy Information Administration puts the August 2026 global oil price average at $91 a barrel and forecasts about $90 for the second half, while Offshore Technology reports benchmarks repeatedly flirted with $100. An average and a peak print measure different things. This is analysis, not advice.

BP entered, then reportedly walked from, the data room for Devon Energy's Eagle Ford assets — valued at $3.5-4.5 billion by Reuters sourcing and TPH Research — with no deal reached. The episode marks CEO Meg O'Neill's return to US shale M&A, while merged Devon sheds non-core Eagle Ford and Powder River acreage.

Woodside's first 235,000-cubic-metre storage tank at Louisiana LNG is confirmed under construction, part of a project Woodside itself says is 28% complete — its own disclosure, not third-party tracking. That milestone matters for the Gulf: it advances one of several new LNG origins competing for buyers against QatarEnergy's targeted 142-million-tonne North Field capacity, due by 2030.

Iraq's State Organization for Marketing of Oil (SOMO) is discounting September Basrah crude by $15 to $20.80 a barrel and rushing late-loading offers, Bloomberg reported on September 25, 2026, as Strait of Hormuz tanker traffic stays below prewar levels, Gulf-to-Asia freight adds roughly $20 a barrel, and Vitol Group still lifts cargoes at the discount.

US commercial crude stocks rose 3.0 million barrels to 426.39 million barrels in the week to September 18, about 2% above the five-year average, according to U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data reported by Rigzone. Cushing, Oklahoma took most of the build while the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) shrank. This is analysis, not a trading call.

The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) issued a draft environmental impact statement finding Cheniere Energy's proposed 24-mtpa Corpus Christi Stage 4 LNG expansion in Texas would have only less-than-significant adverse effects, opening a 45-day comment window — a procedural step, not a construction permit, ahead of a Final EIS and Commission certificate order.